Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Week 1 Fantasy Football Advice

Navigating your fantasy football roster in Week 1 can be challenging. You need to decide who to start and who to sit to maximize your chances of winning. This guide provides start and sit recommendations to help you make informed decisions for your Week 1 matchups, ensuring your lineup is set for success. With careful consideration and strategic choices, you can kick off the season on a winning note.

Quarterbacks: Who to Start and Sit in Week 1

Deciding on your quarterback can be one of the most critical choices in fantasy football. Starting the right quarterback can give you a significant advantage, while making the wrong decision could leave you playing catch-up all week. Week 1 presents unique challenges as we have limited data from the current season, making past performance and preseason indicators crucial in your decision-making process. Red Rocks Amphitheatre Weather Guide

Start 'Em:

  • Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): As one of the league's premier quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes is almost always a must-start. Despite potential changes in his receiving corps, Mahomes' talent and the Chiefs' offensive scheme make him a reliable option. His ability to make plays under pressure and his strong connection with Travis Kelce make him a top-tier choice for Week 1 and beyond. Mahomes' track record speaks for itself, and he's likely to deliver a strong performance to start the season.
  • Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills): Josh Allen is another elite quarterback who should be in your starting lineup every week. Allen's dual-threat ability, combined with a strong receiving group, makes him a consistent fantasy performer. His rushing ability provides a safe floor, while his arm talent gives him a high ceiling each week. Facing a defense that might struggle to contain him, Allen is primed for a big Week 1 outing.
  • Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles): Jalen Hurts' development into a top-tier quarterback makes him an excellent start in Week 1. His rushing prowess adds a significant dimension to his fantasy value, and the Eagles' potent offense sets him up for success. Hurts has the potential to put up huge numbers, especially against defenses that aren't prepared for his mobility and passing ability. Expect a strong start to the season from Hurts.

Sit 'Em:

  • Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins): While Tua Tagovailoa has shown flashes of potential, Week 1 might be a week to keep him on the bench. A tough matchup against a strong defense could limit his production. Tagovailoa's performance can be inconsistent, and relying on him in a difficult matchup carries risk. It's best to see how he performs in a challenging environment before trusting him in your starting lineup.
  • Russell Wilson (Denver Broncos): Russell Wilson's transition to a new team adds uncertainty to his Week 1 outlook. While Wilson has a proven track record, he needs time to build chemistry with his new teammates. A challenging opening matchup could further dampen his fantasy prospects. It might be wise to monitor Wilson's performance before confidently inserting him into your lineup.
  • Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars): Trevor Lawrence is entering his second season with high expectations, but Week 1 could present a tough test. Facing a formidable defense, Lawrence may struggle to find open receivers and generate consistent offense. While his long-term potential is undeniable, Week 1 might be a week to temper expectations.

Running Backs: Start or Sit in Week 1 Decisions

Running back decisions can make or break your fantasy week. Identifying the backs with favorable matchups and roles in their offenses is crucial. Week 1 often brings surprises, but leaning on established players and those in promising situations is a sound strategy. The running back position is notoriously volatile, making the right start/sit choices even more critical.

Start 'Em:

  • Christian McCaffrey (Carolina Panthers): When healthy, Christian McCaffrey is a fantasy football superstar. His ability to contribute as both a runner and receiver makes him a weekly must-start. McCaffrey's workload is typically high, providing ample opportunities for fantasy points. If he's on your roster, he should be in your starting lineup without hesitation.
  • Austin Ekeler (Los Angeles Chargers): Austin Ekeler is a dual-threat running back who excels in both the running and passing game. His versatility makes him a valuable fantasy asset, particularly in PPR formats. Ekeler's role in the Chargers' offense ensures a consistent stream of touches and scoring opportunities. He's a reliable option to anchor your running back corps in Week 1.
  • Najee Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers): Najee Harris is the workhorse running back for the Steelers, handling a significant workload. His volume alone makes him a strong start in fantasy, especially in Week 1. Harris's ability to contribute in both the running and passing game further enhances his value. Expect Harris to be a focal point of the Steelers' offense, making him a solid fantasy option.

Sit 'Em:

  • Miles Sanders (Philadelphia Eagles): Miles Sanders can be a frustrating fantasy player due to his inconsistent usage. While he possesses talent, the Eagles' crowded backfield may limit his opportunities. Relying on Sanders in Week 1 carries risk, particularly against a tough defense. It's best to see how the Eagles distribute carries before starting Sanders with confidence.
  • Damien Harris (New England Patriots): Damien Harris faces competition in the Patriots' backfield, making his fantasy outlook uncertain. The Patriots' tendency to use multiple running backs could limit his touches and scoring opportunities. Week 1 might be a week to keep Harris on the bench until his role becomes clearer.
  • Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): Rachaad White is an intriguing talent, but his role in the Buccaneers' offense is still developing. He may not see enough volume in Week 1 to warrant a start in fantasy. White's potential is there, but it might take time for him to establish himself as a consistent fantasy contributor.

Wide Receivers: Optimal Start and Sit Decisions for Week 1

Wide receiver is a position where matchups and target share are critical factors. Identifying the receivers in favorable situations can lead to big fantasy performances. Week 1 is an excellent time to capitalize on undervalued players who might break out early in the season. The wide receiver landscape is constantly evolving, making strategic start/sit decisions vital. Inter Miami CF: A Rising Star In Major League Soccer

Start 'Em:

  • Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings): Justin Jefferson has quickly become one of the top wide receivers in the NFL. His exceptional route-running and hands make him a must-start in fantasy. Jefferson's connection with his quarterback and his ability to make contested catches make him a weekly threat for high fantasy production. He's a cornerstone of any fantasy team.
  • Ja'Marr Chase (Cincinnati Bengals): Ja'Marr Chase burst onto the scene as a rookie and has the potential for even greater success. His chemistry with Joe Burrow is undeniable, and he's the clear top target in the Bengals' offense. Chase's big-play ability makes him a high-ceiling fantasy option each week. He's a player you can confidently start in Week 1.
  • CeeDee Lamb (Dallas Cowboys): CeeDee Lamb is the Cowboys' top receiver and should see plenty of targets. His role in the offense makes him a reliable fantasy option, especially in PPR formats. Lamb's ability to gain yards after the catch adds to his fantasy value. Expect Lamb to be heavily involved in the Cowboys' passing game, making him a strong start in Week 1.

Sit 'Em:

  • Allen Robinson (Los Angeles Rams): Allen Robinson's move to the Rams brings excitement, but Week 1 might be a wait-and-see approach. He needs time to develop chemistry with Matthew Stafford, and the Rams have other receiving options. While Robinson has the potential to be a valuable fantasy asset, Week 1 might be a week to temper expectations.
  • DeVonta Smith (Philadelphia Eagles): DeVonta Smith is a talented receiver, but the Eagles' crowded receiving corps could limit his targets. The presence of A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert may impact his weekly production. Smith's upside is there, but Week 1 might be a week to monitor his usage before confidently starting him.
  • Kadarius Toney (New York Giants): Kadarius Toney's potential is intriguing, but his role in the Giants' offense is uncertain. Injuries have hampered his development, and the Giants' passing game remains a question mark. Toney's talent is undeniable, but Week 1 might be a week to keep him on the bench until his role becomes clearer.

Tight Ends: Who to Start and Sit for Fantasy Success in Week 1

The tight end position can be a fantasy wasteland, making the right start/sit decisions crucial. Identifying reliable tight ends who will see consistent targets is key. Week 1 can be a great time to find a sleeper tight end who could emerge as a valuable fantasy asset. Strategic tight end decisions can give you a significant advantage over your opponents.

Start 'Em:

  • Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs): Travis Kelce remains the gold standard at tight end. His connection with Patrick Mahomes makes him a weekly must-start. Kelce's ability to consistently produce high-end fantasy numbers makes him an invaluable asset. If you have Kelce on your roster, he's an automatic start every week.
  • Mark Andrews (Baltimore Ravens): Mark Andrews has emerged as one of the top tight ends in the league. His chemistry with Lamar Jackson and his role in the Ravens' offense make him a reliable fantasy option. Andrews is a threat to score every week, making him a valuable player to have in your starting lineup.
  • Darren Waller (Las Vegas Raiders): Darren Waller is a focal point of the Raiders' passing game and should see plenty of targets. His size and athleticism make him a tough matchup for opposing defenses. Waller's potential for high-volume production makes him a strong start in Week 1.

Sit 'Em:

  • Cole Kmet (Chicago Bears): Cole Kmet has the potential to develop into a reliable tight end, but Week 1 might be a week to wait and see. The Bears' passing game is uncertain, and Kmet's target share is not guaranteed. While he has upside, it's best to monitor his performance before starting him with confidence.
  • Robert Tonyan (Green Bay Packers): Robert Tonyan is returning from injury, and his role in the Packers' offense is unclear. With Aaron Rodgers no longer in Green Bay, Tonyan's fantasy outlook is uncertain. Week 1 might be a week to keep Tonyan on the bench until his role becomes clearer.
  • Evan Engram (Jacksonville Jaguars): Evan Engram has flashed potential throughout his career, but consistency has been an issue. His role in the Jaguars' offense is not guaranteed, and he may not see enough targets to warrant a start in Week 1. Engram's upside is there, but it's best to monitor his performance before inserting him into your lineup.

Defense/Special Teams (DST): Week 1 Start and Sit Recommendations

The Defense/Special Teams (DST) position can be unpredictable, but identifying favorable matchups can lead to valuable fantasy points. Targeting defenses facing inexperienced quarterbacks or struggling offenses is a common strategy. Week 1 is an excellent time to stream defenses that have the potential for high turnover and sack numbers. Making smart DST decisions can be the difference between winning and losing your week. LeBron's Lakers Face Elimination: What's Next?

Start 'Em:

  • San Francisco 49ers DST: The 49ers boast a strong defense that can generate sacks and turnovers. Their Week 1 matchup is favorable, making them a top DST option. The 49ers' consistent performance and ability to score defensive touchdowns make them a reliable choice to start your season.
  • Buffalo Bills DST: The Bills have one of the league's most talented defenses, capable of shutting down opposing offenses. Their Week 1 matchup presents an opportunity for a strong performance. Buffalo's aggressive defensive style and ability to create turnovers make them a valuable fantasy asset.
  • New Orleans Saints DST: The Saints' defense is consistently among the league's best, and they have a favorable Week 1 matchup. Their ability to pressure the quarterback and create turnovers makes them a solid start in fantasy. The Saints' defensive prowess gives them a high floor and the potential for a big Week 1 performance.

Sit 'Em:

  • Green Bay Packers DST: The Packers' defense has potential, but their Week 1 matchup is challenging. Facing a potent offense, the Packers may struggle to generate fantasy points. It might be best to keep the Packers' DST on the bench until they have a more favorable matchup.
  • Denver Broncos DST: The Broncos' defense is talented, but their Week 1 matchup is against a strong offensive team. This could limit their ability to produce sacks and turnovers. Week 1 might be a week to look for a different DST option with a better matchup.
  • Washington Commanders DST: The Commanders' defense has playmakers, but their Week 1 matchup is difficult. Facing a dynamic offense, the Commanders may struggle to contain the opposition. It's best to explore other DST options for Week 1 with more favorable matchups.

FAQ: Week 1 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Decisions

Here are some frequently asked questions to help you navigate your Week 1 fantasy football decisions:

How much should I weigh last season's performance when making Week 1 decisions?

While last season's performance provides a baseline, it's essential to consider offseason changes, such as player movement and coaching changes. Use last season's data as a reference point, but prioritize current roles and matchups. A player's situation can change significantly year-to-year, so focus on the present circumstances to make informed decisions.

What factors should I consider when deciding between two closely ranked players?

When choosing between two closely ranked players, consider factors like matchups, potential game script, and recent performance in training camp and preseason. A favorable matchup can significantly boost a player's potential. Game script, such as whether a team is likely to be playing from ahead or behind, can also impact usage. News and reports from training camp can provide valuable insights into a player's current form and role within the team.

How important are matchups in Week 1 compared to later in the season?

Matchups are always important, but they can be particularly crucial in Week 1 because we have limited current-season data. Favorable matchups can provide a significant boost to a player's potential. However, don't overreact to one week's performance; as the season progresses, you'll have more data to make informed decisions based on trends and usage patterns.

Should I start a player who is facing a tough defense in Week 1?

Starting a player against a tough defense can be risky, but it's not always a definite sit. Consider the player's role in the offense and their talent level. A player who is a focal point of their team's offense might still produce solid numbers despite a difficult matchup. Weigh the potential risk against the player's upside and alternative options on your roster.

How do injuries affect my start/sit decisions for Week 1?

Injuries can significantly impact start/sit decisions. Monitor injury reports closely leading up to game day. If a key player is injured, their backup might become a valuable start. However, be cautious about starting players who are returning from injury, as they may be limited in their first game back. Stay updated on injury news to make informed choices.

What role do bye weeks play in my start/sit strategy?

Bye weeks don't impact Week 1 decisions, but it's a good idea to be aware of your players' bye weeks for future planning. Knowing when your players will be unavailable allows you to strategize your roster management throughout the season. While bye weeks aren't a factor in Week 1, keeping them in mind can help you prepare for the long haul.

When should I consider starting a sleeper player in Week 1?

Week 1 can be an excellent time to start a sleeper player, especially if they have a favorable matchup or have generated buzz during the preseason. Sleepers can provide unexpected value and give you an edge over your opponents. However, balance the risk with the potential reward and consider the reliability of your other options before making a bold move.

What are reliable sources for getting up-to-date fantasy football advice?

Reliable sources for fantasy football advice include reputable sports news websites, fantasy football-specific platforms, and expert analysts. Look for sources with a track record of accuracy and a transparent methodology. Avoid relying solely on one source; cross-referencing information can help you make well-rounded decisions. Stay informed by following multiple credible sources to gain a comprehensive perspective.

Conclusion: Setting Your Lineup for Week 1 Success

Making the right start and sit decisions in Week 1 is crucial for a successful fantasy football season. By carefully evaluating matchups, player roles, and potential game scripts, you can optimize your lineup for the best possible outcome. Remember to stay informed with the latest news and adjust your strategy as needed. With a strategic approach, you can kick off the season with a strong start and position yourself for a winning year in fantasy football. Good luck with your Week 1 matchups!

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Robert M. Wachter

Professor, Medicine Chair, Department of Medicine ·

Robert M. Bob Wachter is an academic physician and author. He is on the faculty of University of California, San Francisco, where he is chairman of the Department of Medicine, the Lynne and Marc Benioff Endowed Chair in Hospital Medicine, and the Holly Smith Distinguished Professor in Science and Medicine