2018 NFL Draft: Re-evaluating The Top Picks Five Years Later

The 2018 NFL Draft is considered one of the most talent-rich classes in recent memory, featuring several players who have already become stars in the league. Five years later, it’s time to re-evaluate the top picks and see how they have performed, assessing their impact and long-term potential. This article examines the standout players, surprises, and overall success of the 2018 NFL Draft class.

The Top 10: Hits and Misses

The top 10 picks of the 2018 NFL Draft were highly anticipated, with teams hoping to find franchise cornerstones. While some selections have lived up to the hype, others have struggled to make a significant impact. Re-examining these selections offers valuable insights into the draft process and player evaluation.

1. Cleveland Browns: Baker Mayfield, QB

Baker Mayfield was selected as the No. 1 overall pick, with the Browns hoping he would be their franchise quarterback. Mayfield showed flashes of potential, leading the Browns to their first playoff appearance in nearly two decades in 2020. However, his performance was inconsistent, and he was traded to the Carolina Panthers in 2022, then bounced to the Los Angeles Rams before landing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023. His career has been a roller coaster, marked by moments of brilliance mixed with struggles and injuries. The Browns' decision to move on from Mayfield highlights the high stakes and pressure associated with being a top draft pick. Mayfield's time in Cleveland underscores the importance of stability and fit for a young quarterback. Despite the initial excitement, the partnership ultimately did not yield the desired long-term success. His journey continues as he seeks to solidify his place as a reliable NFL starter.

2. New York Giants: Saquon Barkley, RB

Saquon Barkley was hailed as a generational talent when the Giants selected him second overall. Barkley quickly lived up to the hype, showcasing his explosive running style and versatility as a receiver. His rookie season was spectacular, earning him Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. However, injuries have hampered his career, particularly a torn ACL in 2020. While Barkley has shown flashes of his former self, maintaining consistency has been a challenge. The Giants' investment in a running back so high in the draft reflects the evolving value of the position in the modern NFL. Barkley's impact when healthy is undeniable, but his injury history raises questions about his long-term durability. His performance remains crucial for the Giants' offensive success. Barkley signed with the Philadelphia Eagles in 2024.

3. New York Jets: Sam Darnold, QB

The Jets hoped Sam Darnold would be their long-term solution at quarterback when they drafted him third overall. Darnold showed promise early in his career, but he struggled with consistency and turnovers. Playing on a struggling Jets team didn't help his development. After three seasons, the Jets traded Darnold to the Carolina Panthers. Darnold's career has been marked by inconsistency and challenges in adapting to different offensive systems. The pressure of being a high draft pick in a major media market added to the scrutiny. Darnold serves as a case study in the complexities of quarterback development and the importance of a supportive environment. He signed with the Minnesota Vikings in 2024.

4. Cleveland Browns: Denzel Ward, CB

Denzel Ward has been a reliable and impactful player for the Browns. Selected fourth overall, Ward has solidified himself as a top cornerback in the league. Known for his coverage skills and ball-hawking ability, Ward has consistently performed at a high level. He has earned multiple Pro Bowl selections and has been a key part of the Browns' defense. Ward's impact goes beyond statistics; his presence on the field elevates the play of those around him. The Browns' selection of Ward highlights the value of drafting a shutdown cornerback to anchor a defense. Ward's durability and consistency have made him a cornerstone of the Browns' roster. His contributions are vital to the team's defensive success and overall competitiveness.

5. Denver Broncos: Bradley Chubb, DE

Bradley Chubb was drafted fifth overall to bolster the Broncos' pass rush. Chubb has shown flashes of dominance, but injuries have impacted his availability. When healthy, he is a disruptive force, capable of pressuring quarterbacks and disrupting offenses. The Broncos traded Chubb to the Miami Dolphins in 2022. Chubb's career has been a mix of high potential and unfortunate setbacks due to injuries. His impact on the field is evident when he's healthy, but his ability to stay on the field has been a concern. The Broncos' decision to trade Chubb reflects the challenges of managing player health and maximizing value. Chubb's future success hinges on his ability to overcome injuries and maintain his performance level. His presence is a significant boost to the Dolphins' defense.

6. Indianapolis Colts: Quenton Nelson, G

Quenton Nelson has been a standout performer since being drafted sixth overall. Nelson is widely regarded as one of the best offensive guards in the NFL. His combination of strength, technique, and football IQ makes him a dominant force in the trenches. Nelson's impact on the Colts' running game and pass protection is significant. He has earned multiple All-Pro selections and is a cornerstone of the Colts' offensive line. The Colts' selection of Nelson highlights the value of investing in a high-quality offensive lineman to protect the quarterback and establish the running game. Nelson's consistent excellence has solidified his status as an elite player. His presence is crucial to the Colts' offensive success and overall competitiveness.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vita Vea, DT

Vita Vea has been a key player for the Buccaneers' defensive line. Selected seventh overall, Vea is a massive and powerful defensive tackle who excels at stopping the run and pressuring the quarterback. Vea's presence in the middle of the Buccaneers' defense has been instrumental in their success, including their Super Bowl LV victory. His ability to disrupt opposing offenses makes him a valuable asset. Vea's impact goes beyond his individual statistics; he commands double teams and frees up opportunities for his teammates. The Buccaneers' selection of Vea underscores the importance of a dominant defensive tackle in a championship-caliber defense. Vea's consistent performance and durability have made him a cornerstone of the Buccaneers' defense. SpaceX Starship Launch: A Step Towards Mars

8. Chicago Bears: Roquan Smith, LB

Roquan Smith has established himself as one of the top linebackers in the NFL. Drafted eighth overall by the Bears, Smith quickly became a leader on the Bears' defense. His speed, instincts, and tackling ability make him a force to be reckoned with. The Bears traded Smith to the Baltimore Ravens in 2022, where he has continued to excel. Smith's impact on the Ravens' defense has been immediate, providing a significant boost to their run-stopping and pass coverage. His leadership qualities and on-field performance make him a valuable asset to any team. The Bears' decision to trade Smith reflects the complexities of team-building and player valuations. Smith's consistent excellence has solidified his status as an elite linebacker. His presence is a key component of the Ravens' defensive strategy.

9. San Francisco 49ers: Mike McGlinchey, OT

Mike McGlinchey was drafted ninth overall to solidify the 49ers' offensive line. McGlinchey has been a consistent starter at right tackle, providing stability and reliability. While he may not have reached elite status, McGlinchey has been a solid contributor. He signed with the Denver Broncos in 2023. McGlinchey's performance has been steady, and he has been a reliable presence on the offensive line. The 49ers' selection of McGlinchey highlights the importance of drafting offensive linemen to protect the quarterback and establish the running game. McGlinchey's durability and experience make him a valuable asset to the Broncos' offensive line. His contributions are essential to the team's offensive success.

10. Arizona Cardinals: Josh Rosen, QB

Josh Rosen was the fourth quarterback selected in the top 10 of the 2018 NFL Draft. Drafted tenth overall by the Cardinals, Rosen's tenure with the team was short-lived. After one season, the Cardinals traded him to the Miami Dolphins. Rosen's career has been a struggle, as he has bounced around to several teams without finding a consistent role. Rosen's experience highlights the challenges of evaluating quarterbacks and the high rate of attrition at the position. The Cardinals' decision to move on from Rosen after just one season underscores the urgency and pressure in the NFL to find a franchise quarterback. Rosen's journey serves as a cautionary tale about the uncertainties of the draft process. He signed with the Cleveland Browns in 2022 and was released, and is currently a free agent.

Standout Players Beyond the Top 10

While the top 10 picks often garner the most attention, the 2018 NFL Draft class was filled with talent throughout the entire draft. Several players selected outside the top 10 have emerged as stars in their own right, showcasing the depth and quality of this draft class. These players have made significant contributions to their teams and have exceeded expectations, highlighting the importance of thorough scouting and player development.

15. Las Vegas Raiders: Kolton Miller, OT

Kolton Miller, drafted 15th overall, has become a cornerstone of the Raiders' offensive line. Initially viewed as a raw prospect, Miller has developed into a reliable and consistent left tackle. His improvement over the years is a testament to his work ethic and the Raiders' coaching staff. Miller's ability to protect the quarterback and anchor the offensive line makes him an invaluable asset. His durability and steady performance have solidified his place as a key player for the Raiders. Miller's success underscores the importance of patience and development in the draft process. His contributions are essential to the Raiders' offensive success and overall competitiveness.

35. Cleveland Browns: Nick Chubb, RB

Nick Chubb, selected 35th overall, has emerged as one of the premier running backs in the NFL. Known for his powerful running style, exceptional balance, and determination, Chubb has consistently produced at a high level. Chubb's impact on the Browns' offense is undeniable, providing a consistent rushing threat and a physical presence. His ability to break tackles and gain yards after contact sets him apart. The Browns' selection of Chubb highlights the value of identifying talent outside the first round. Chubb's consistent performance and dedication have made him a fan favorite and a key player for the Browns.

41. Detroit Lions: Kerryon Johnson, RB

Kerryon Johnson, drafted 43rd overall, showed promise early in his career with the Lions. However, injuries derailed his progress, and he was unable to consistently stay on the field. While Johnson displayed flashes of talent, his lack of durability ultimately limited his impact. Johnson's experience highlights the importance of player health and the challenges of maintaining a career in the NFL. The Lions' selection of Johnson underscores the risk associated with drafting players with injury concerns. Johnson's career serves as a reminder of the physical demands of the game. He retired from the NFL in 2021.

52. Indianapolis Colts: Kemoko Turay, DE

Kemoko Turay, selected 52nd overall, has shown potential as a pass rusher but has also faced injury challenges. Turay's speed and athleticism made him an intriguing prospect, but his ability to consistently contribute has been limited. Turay's career exemplifies the challenges of developing raw talent and overcoming injuries in the NFL. The Colts' selection of Turay highlights the balance between potential and risk in the draft process. Turay's future success hinges on his ability to stay healthy and refine his technique. He signed with the San Francisco 49ers in 2022 and is currently a free agent.

81. Dallas Cowboys: Michael Gallup, WR

Michael Gallup, drafted 81st overall, has developed into a reliable receiver for the Cowboys. Gallup's route-running ability, hands, and toughness have made him a valuable target in the passing game. While he may not be a superstar, Gallup has been a consistent contributor. Gallup's success underscores the importance of finding talent in the middle rounds of the draft. The Cowboys' selection of Gallup highlights the value of scouting and player development. Gallup's consistent performance has made him a key player in the Cowboys' offense.

Biggest Surprises and Disappointments

The 2018 NFL Draft, like any draft, had its share of surprises and disappointments. Some players exceeded expectations, while others failed to live up to their potential. Evaluating these outcomes provides valuable lessons for teams and fans alike. Understanding the factors that contribute to success and failure in the NFL is crucial for making informed decisions in future drafts.

Surprises

One of the biggest surprises of the 2018 NFL Draft class is the emergence of players drafted outside the first round who have become stars. Nick Chubb, for example, has become one of the top running backs in the league despite being a second-round pick. His consistent performance and impact on the Browns' offense have exceeded expectations. Additionally, players like Michael Gallup have shown that valuable contributors can be found in the later rounds. These surprises highlight the importance of thorough scouting and player development throughout the draft process.

Disappointments

On the other hand, several highly touted players from the 2018 NFL Draft have not lived up to their potential. Josh Rosen, drafted tenth overall, is a prime example. After a disappointing rookie season with the Cardinals, Rosen was traded and has struggled to find a consistent role in the NFL. Similarly, Sam Darnold, the third overall pick, showed flashes of potential but ultimately failed to meet expectations with the Jets. These disappointments underscore the challenges of evaluating quarterbacks and the high rate of attrition at the position. The pressure of being a high draft pick can be immense, and not all players are able to thrive in that environment.

Re-Drafting the Top 10: Hindsight is 20/20

If the 2018 NFL Draft were held today, the top 10 picks might look very different. Hindsight is 20/20, and with five years of NFL experience to draw upon, it's possible to re-evaluate the draft order based on actual performance. This exercise provides a thought-provoking perspective on the draft process and the challenges of predicting future success.

  1. Quenton Nelson, G (Originally Pick 6): Nelson's consistent excellence and status as one of the best guards in the NFL would likely make him the top pick. His impact on the Colts' offensive line is undeniable.
  2. Denzel Ward, CB (Originally Pick 4): Ward's performance as a top cornerback solidifies his place near the top of the re-draft. His coverage skills and ball-hawking ability make him a valuable asset.
  3. Nick Chubb, RB (Originally Pick 35): Chubb's emergence as a premier running back would likely elevate him into the top 5. His power, balance, and determination make him a consistent threat.
  4. Roquan Smith, LB (Originally Pick 8): Smith's leadership and playmaking ability would likely result in a higher draft position. His impact on the Ravens' defense is significant.
  5. Vita Vea, DT (Originally Pick 7): Vea's dominance on the defensive line would likely keep him in the top 10. His ability to disrupt opposing offenses is crucial.
  6. Kolton Miller, OT (Originally Pick 15): Miller's development into a reliable left tackle would likely move him into the top 10. His consistency and durability are valuable assets.
  7. Baker Mayfield, QB (Originally Pick 1): Mayfield's inconsistent performance might cause him to drop, but his flashes of potential could still warrant a top-10 selection.
  8. Bradley Chubb, DE (Originally Pick 5): Chubb's potential as a pass rusher would likely keep him in the top 10, despite injury concerns.
  9. Mike McGlinchey, OT (Originally Pick 9): McGlinchey's steady performance would likely keep him in the first round, although perhaps not as high as ninth overall.
  10. Sam Darnold, QB (Originally Pick 3): Darnold's struggles might cause him to fall out of the top 10 in a re-draft, reflecting the challenges he has faced in his career.

Conclusion

The 2018 NFL Draft class has proven to be one of the most talent-rich in recent memory, producing numerous stars and impactful players. While some top picks have lived up to expectations, others have faced challenges. Standout players drafted outside the top 10 have demonstrated the importance of thorough scouting and player development. Re-evaluating the draft class five years later provides valuable insights into the draft process and the factors that contribute to success in the NFL. The legacy of the 2018 NFL Draft class will continue to be written as these players progress through their careers, shaping the landscape of the league for years to come.

FAQ About the 2018 NFL Draft

Which position was the strongest in the 2018 NFL Draft class?

The quarterback position was particularly strong in the 2018 NFL Draft, featuring multiple players selected in the top 10. While not all of these quarterbacks have achieved consistent success, the sheer number of high-potential players at the position made it a standout group. The performances and trajectories of these quarterbacks continue to be closely watched by teams and fans.

Who was considered the biggest steal from the 2018 NFL Draft?

Nick Chubb is widely considered one of the biggest steals from the 2018 NFL Draft, as he was selected in the second round (35th overall). Chubb has consistently performed at a high level, establishing himself as one of the premier running backs in the league. His impact on the Cleveland Browns' offense has far exceeded the expectations for a second-round pick.

Which teams made the best and worst decisions in the 2018 NFL Draft?

Teams like the Indianapolis Colts, with the selection of Quenton Nelson, and the Cleveland Browns, with the selection of Nick Chubb and Denzel Ward, made several strong picks in the 2018 NFL Draft. On the other hand, teams like the Arizona Cardinals, with their selection of Josh Rosen, and the New York Jets, with Sam Darnold, are often cited as making less successful decisions in the top 10.

How can NFL teams improve their draft evaluation process?

NFL teams can improve their draft evaluation process by combining traditional scouting methods with advanced data analytics. A comprehensive approach that considers player performance metrics, character assessments, and medical evaluations can help teams make more informed decisions. Additionally, teams must focus on player development and creating supportive environments for young players to thrive.

What factors contribute to a successful NFL draft pick?

Several factors contribute to a successful NFL draft pick, including talent evaluation, fit within the team's system, player work ethic, and injury history. A player's ability to adapt to the NFL level and contribute to the team's culture is also crucial. Effective coaching and a supportive organizational structure play a significant role in a player's development and success.

How much does a player's college performance correlate with NFL success?

While college performance is an important factor in evaluating draft prospects, it is not a perfect predictor of NFL success. Some players who excel in college may struggle to adapt to the faster, more physical NFL game, while others may exceed expectations. The transition from college to the NFL involves a significant increase in competition and complexity. Roblox Shutting Down? Debunking The Rumors

What is the importance of team culture in developing draft picks?

Team culture plays a crucial role in the development of draft picks. A positive and supportive environment can help young players reach their potential, while a negative or dysfunctional culture can hinder their growth. Teams that prioritize player development, mentorship, and leadership are more likely to see their draft picks succeed. How To Watch Golden State Valkyries Vs. Dallas Wings: TV & Streaming

What are the long-term impacts of a successful NFL draft class?

A successful NFL draft class can have significant long-term impacts on a team, including improved on-field performance, increased fan engagement, and sustained competitiveness. Drafting multiple key players in a single year can set a team up for success for many years, creating a foundation for championships and building a strong organizational identity.

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Robert M. Wachter

Professor, Medicine Chair, Department of Medicine ·

Robert M. Bob Wachter is an academic physician and author. He is on the faculty of University of California, San Francisco, where he is chairman of the Department of Medicine, the Lynne and Marc Benioff Endowed Chair in Hospital Medicine, and the Holly Smith Distinguished Professor in Science and Medicine